Recent Changes and the Future of Fertility in Iran
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper briefly reviews population policy changes and fertility trends over the last three decades, puts forward some possible explanations behind the fertility transition in Iran, and finally speculates about the future of fertility for the coming decades. Among the questions to be answered in this paper are: what are the recent changes of Iranian fertility? Will Iran follow the patterns experienced by the more developed countries and will attain fertility levels below replacement? If so, what are the leading factors explaining the fall of fertility in Iran? What are the likely and plausible assumptions for the future of Iranian fertility?
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